5 p.m. update:
Preparing for Tropical Depression 9, Governor Ron DeSantis issued an executive order declaring a “state of emergency” for 24 Florida counties, including Sarasota and Manatee, in the potential path of the upcoming storm.
DeSantis also requested a “pre-landing federal emergency declaration” to make key federal resources and support available to the state. It requires President Biden’s approval.
Invest 98L has formed in the Caribbean into Tropical Depression 9 and is expected to become Hurricane Ian early next week. The National Hurricane Center track on Friday night showed the storm’s center heading toward Sarasota and Manatee counties, but forecasters warned there was a lot of uncertainty in predicting the storm’s track. storm so far from potential landfall in Florida.
“In fact, this forecast calls for the system to approach the Florida Peninsula as a major hurricane on Day 5,” said National Hurricane Center hurricane specialist Brad Reinhart, “which is supported by the latest IVCN aids and of the HCCA”.
Tropical Depression 9: See Spaghetti Patterns, Path, and Storm Activity for Florida
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Hurricane Shelters: Where are the Sarasota-Manatee Hurricane Shelters? When should I leave?
As of 5 p.m. EDT, Tropical Depression Nine had winds of 35 mph. It was heading west-northwest at mph. The National Hurricane Center predicts slow strengthening over the next day or so, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday evening. The NHC also expects greater intensification on Sunday and Monday, and the system is expected to become a hurricane early Monday.
There is still a fair amount of uncertainty in the track forecasts on the 4-5 day horizon. After the system turns into a tropical storm, a more accurate forecast will be possible.
If Tropical Depression 9 becomes a named storm, it will likely be called Ian, because another storm in the eastern Atlantic will likely turn into a tropical storm sooner.
Will Hurricane Ian Hit Sarasota-Manatee?
Although Tropical Depression 9 doesn’t become Hurricane Ian until late Sunday or early Monday, most predictive models show it impacting Florida near Sarasota and Manatee counties. However, forecasters warn that there is still too much uncertainty to be confident in predictions of the storm track.
“The trajectory is still a bit uncertain,” said NWS Tampa meteorologist Christianne Pearce. “The center (of the storm) wobbles at the start. We’re also not sure it will definitely make that turn toward Florida.”
When will Hurricane Ian hit Sarasota-Manatee?
If the National Hurricane Center and other forecasts hold true, Tropical Depression 9 will steadily increase in intensity, becoming Hurricane Hermine Monday morning, and will make landfall in Florida in the Sarasota-Manatee area sometime Wednesday.
Stay up to date on the storm: Download the updated Herald-Tribune app
HURRICANE GUIDE: Tips for staying connected before, during, after the storm
Sarasota-Manatee Government Response
Bill Logan, the county’s information outreach manager, said Manatee County is partially activating its emergency operations center this afternoon, but without permanent staff at this time, calling it a gesture of caution. extraordinary.
Sarasota County officials released a statement on their social media Friday morning, saying they were monitoring the progress of the storm.
“We are not activated (for an emergency) yet,” said Brianne Grant, media relations manager for the county. “We are monitoring all activity and recommending residents review their plans, prepare go-kits and visit our website for checklists and storm tips.”
Where can I find sandbags in Sarasota-Manatee before Hurricane Ian?
The City of Venice has announced that the Public Works Department will be making sandbags available to residents beginning Sunday, September 25, from noon to 6 p.m. at Wellfield Park near Pinebrook Road.
These are self-filling stations. There is a limit of 10 sandbags per household while supplies last and shovels will be provided. Residents are encouraged to bring their own bags in case the town runs out, as well as their own shovels to speed up the process.
Sarasota County will also begin sandbagging operations on Sunday, Sept. 25 from noon to 6 p.m. at three locations.
Ed Smith Stadium, 2700 12th Street, Sarasota.
Twin Lakes Park, 6700 Clark Road, Sarasota.
South County Fleet, 4571 SR 776/Englewood Road, Venice.
Shovels and bags will be available on site, limit of 10 sandbags per vehicle.
Sandbag operations are also scheduled for Monday, September 26 from 9 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Tropical Depression 9 (likely Hurricane Ian) National Hurricane Center Update
From 5 p.m. on September 23:
Location: 430 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica
Maximum sustained winds: 35 mph
Direction: West-northwest at 22 km/h
Next notice: 11 p.m. ET
As of 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 14.7 north and longitude 71.3 west. The depression is moving west-northwestward at nearly 15 mph.
There is now a hurricane watch in effect for the Cayman Islands and a tropical storm watch in effect for Jamaica.
On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to cross the central Caribbean Sea through Saturday, pass south of Jamaica Saturday evening and Sunday, and approach the Cayman Islands Sunday evening and early Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with stronger gusts. Slow strengthening is expected over the next day, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by this evening. Further intensification is expected on Sunday and Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Hurricane coming to Florida? Sarasota currently in the storm path