The 52-point lead over Rubio represents a massive increase since July – the last time Fabrizio probed a game between the three and found DeSantis ahead of Rubio by just 11 points.
“To run for president, you need to have your home state, you need your home base. And DeSantis clearly has it, ”said Fabrizio, who has polled for President Trump’s two elections and has also worked for DeSantis and Scott in the past. Fabrizio’s survey of 304 Republicans had a margin of error of +/- 5.6%.
It’s not just Fabrizio’s polls that have sparked increased Republican enthusiasm for DeSantis in Florida. An investigation by Republican pollster Ryan Tyson recently revealed that DeSantis had better favorable ratings than Trump in the Florida GOP, a remarkable achievement given that Trump won Florida by a larger margin in 2020 than Barack Obama in 2008. .
Obama was the last high-end Democrat to win Florida. The state has only one democrat elected statewide, Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, who is positioning himself to run for governor against DeSantis next year.
Fabrizio’s investigation also tested another key metric for Florida GOP voters: Of the three Republicans in the state, who do you think is Trump’s biggest supporter? With 67% saying DeSantis, it’s not even close. Only 9 percent said Scott and 7 percent said Rubio.
Scott’s relatively low number stands out for a senator who voted against certification of the Electoral College vote in Washington, even after a violent pro-Trump mob invaded the U.S. Capitol. Rubio voted to certify the results.
“Given the state’s attention to Scott and Rubio’s positions and votes on the election outcome, it is quite surprising to see DeSantis, by an even wider margin, seen as the biggest supporter. Trump of the three, ”Fabrizio said.
Rubio, who ran unsuccessfully against Trump and lost Florida to him in the 2016 GOP primary, has not ruled out a future presidential campaign. But for now, his advisers say he’s focused on being a senator and running for office in 2022. DeSantis, who doesn’t have a team of advisers, is running for re-election at the same time. time and recently avoided a question on Fox News about his interest. in an offer from the White House.
Scott, too, has presidential ambitions and is set for re-election in 2024. He was recently called upon to lead the Republican National Senate Committee to help the GOP regain control of the upper house of Congress.
Scott and DeSantis will both address the Conservative Political Action Conference this weekend in Orlando, where Trump will deliver his first public speech since leaving the White House. Rubio is not to speak, citing a previous engagement.
Although Rubio is seen as a tough general election candidate in the state, far-right conservatives have held Rubio in suspicion since his effort to shape a bipartisan immigration reform plan in 2013, and they l ‘denounced for voting to approve the elections. College results on January 6. Some hoped Trump’s daughter Ivanka Trump would challenge Rubio, but she reportedly refused.
Fabrizio indicated that Rubio’s loss to Trump in 2016 still reverberates today.
“Imagine if Ted Cruz hadn’t won Texas in 2016 and what it meant for Marco Rubio to lose Florida in 2016,” Fabrizio said. “In terms of running for the presidency of a primary, if you don’t have your home state, what do you have?”