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TORONTO – The Liberals maintain a slight lead in support after the debate, new poll data suggests.

Figures from the Nanos Research Sunday poll, commissioned by CTV News and The Globe and Mail.

The Liberals lead the pack with 34 percent, while the Conservatives are just behind at 30.7 percent.

“It’s a frantic race to the finish, and it’s always a very close race,” Nik Nanos, founder and chief data scientist at Nanos Research, told CTV News Channel Sunday morning.

The NDP is in third place with 18.6 percent, while the Bloc Québécois is at 6.6 percent.

Support for the People’s Party of Canada, which sits at 5.1 percent in the polls, also remains higher than the Green Party at 4.1 percent.

Liberal Leader Trudeau also continues to maintain a significant lead for the preferred prime minister at 34 percent. He’s nearly eight percentage points ahead of conservative rival Erin O’Toole, who sits at 26.2 percent.

Support for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh as preferred prime minister continues to decline for the third day in a row, with support of 17.7 percent. The poll also found that 12.2 percent were still undecided about their favorite prime minister.


Nanos conducted a nationwide random telephone survey (sample of land and cell lines using live agents) of 1,200 Canadians throughout the campaign over a three-day period. Each evening, a new group of 400 eligible voters is questioned. Daily follow-up figures are based on a three-day rolling sample including 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking, a new maintenance day is added and the oldest day is deleted. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ± 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The sample of respondents is stratified geographically and by sex. Data may be age-weighted based on data from the 2016 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Reported percentages may not add to 100 due to rounding.


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