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How the 2024 elections could be the closest in a generation

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The two parties are entering a neck-and-neck race next year to control the three levers of elected power in Washington: the House, the Senate and the presidency.

This is not often the case. Until 1995, Democrats held a majority in the House for 40 years, with an average margin of more than 80 seats. They won a majority in the Senate in 1954 and held it until the 1980 elections. This year, the Democrats’ hold on the Senate and the Republican majority in the House are both under threat, while polls point to a tight race for the White House.

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