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Democrats lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania too close to call Wisconsin, new poll finds


With the midterm elections just weeks away, a recent poll in three key states shows Democrats have an advantage over Republicans in Michigan and Pennsylvania, but the results were too close to call in Wisconsin.

In Michigan, Republican gubernatorial candidate Tudor Dixon has about 42% voter support compared to incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s 52%, according to CNN polls conducted by SSRS.

A Michigan voter inserts her mail-in ballot into a drop box in Troy, Michigan on October 15, 2020.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya, File)

In Pennsylvania, Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano trails Democrat Josh Shapiro, 41% to 56%, in his bid to replace Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf.

In Wisconsin, meanwhile, Democratic incumbent Governor Tony Evers has 50% favor among likely voters, while Republican nominee Tim Michels has 48%.

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The results showed that in Michigan and Pennsylvania, Democratic voters tended to be more united behind their candidates than Republican voters. In Michigan, however, the poll found a higher number of registered Republican voters, 64%, who were “extremely motivated” to vote, compared to 58% of registered Democratic voters.

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Fox News plans gubernatorial run for November midterms
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Among the top issues for voters, the economy and inflation rank first, followed by abortion, voting rights and electoral integrity, second and third. In all three states, an overwhelming majority felt the economy was getting worse.

When it comes to election integrity, more than 90% of Democratic voters in all three states were somewhat confident that their votes would be accurately counted. But only about 51% of Republican voters held that view in Wisconsin, 46% in Pennsylvania and 41% in Michigan.

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The CNN polls were conducted in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin between October 13 and October 18 by SSRS, using a combination of online and telephone interviews.

The results suggest Democrats, who have held both houses of Congress and the presidency for two years, could still score big wins on Election Day. Republicans are favored to win the House, but the outlook is bleaker in the Senate. Several races in key battleground states are close, leading Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell to say the odds of his party winning a majority are only 50-50.

Another CNN poll released on Monday showed Wisconsin voters’ favor split nearly evenly between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.

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In Pennsylvania’s race to replace Republican incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey, Democratic state Lt. Gov. John Fetterman holds 51% of voters’ favor to Republican nominee Mehmet Oz’s 45%.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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