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Breakaway regions are excluded from government control.

What he seems to be saying here is that no (or at least harsh) action will be taken if the Russian military enters the separatist areas.

So there is a possible outcome here where Russia is spared severe punishment if its military only secures breakaway regions. The Russian army could take these regions unopposed, Putin could declare them independent on Sunday and say that there will be bloodshed only if there is a Ukrainian counterattack.

Then the United States and Europe imposed symbolic sanctions and Russia ignored them. Ukraine protests but does not provoke Russia further. This is a negative story for oil and likely positive for risk, although it may take a few days for things to calm down.

JPY

JPY

The Japanese yen (JPY) is the official currency of Japan and, at the time of writing, is the third most traded currency in the world behind the US dollar and the euro. The JPY is widely used as a reserve currency and is used by traders as a safe haven currency. Originally set up in 1871, the JPY has a long history and has survived several world wars and other events. This was followed by the establishment of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 1882 and full oversight of the JPY by the Japanese government only in 1971. Japan has historically maintained a policy of monetary intervention, which continues to this day. The BoJ also adheres to a zero to near zero interest rate policy and the Japanese government previously had a strict anti-inflation policy. Any other changes in monetary policy by the central bank are closely watched by traders. Also, the overnight call rate is the main short-term interbank rate. The BoJ uses the call rate to signal monetary policy changes, which in turn impact the JPY. The BoJ also buys 10- and 20-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) on a monthly basis to inject liquidity into the monetary system. The consistent yield on the benchmark 10-year JGBs helps serve as a key indicator of long-term interest rates. Economic data is also very important for the JPY. The most important of these releases in Japan are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Tankan Survey (Quarterly Survey of Business Sentiment and Expectations), International Trade, Unemployment, Industrial Production and GDP readings. money supply (M2 + CD).

The Japanese yen (JPY) is the official currency of Japan and, at the time of writing, is the third most traded currency in the world behind the US dollar and the euro. The JPY is widely used as a reserve currency and is used by traders as a safe haven currency. Originally set up in 1871, the JPY has a long history and has survived several world wars and other events. This was followed by the establishment of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 1882 and full oversight of the JPY by the Japanese government only in 1971. Japan has historically maintained a policy of monetary intervention, which continues to this day. The BoJ also adheres to a zero to near zero interest rate policy and the Japanese government previously had a strict anti-inflation policy. Any other changes in monetary policy by the central bank are closely watched by traders. Also, the overnight call rate is the main short-term interbank rate. The BoJ uses the call rate to signal monetary policy changes, which in turn impact the JPY. The BoJ also buys 10- and 20-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) on a monthly basis to inject liquidity into the monetary system. The consistent yield on the benchmark 10-year JGBs helps serve as a key indicator of long-term interest rates. Economic data is also very important for the JPY. The most important of these releases in Japan are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Tankan Survey (Quarterly Survey of Business Sentiment and Expectations), International Trade, Unemployment, Industrial Production and GDP readings. money supply (M2 + CD).
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